The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 8, 2026

Naranjo / Zapata v Sanchez / Pineda

A. NaranjoT. Zapata
Winner
646
P. SanchezS. Pineda
260
Court 201:35

Pre-match odds

Naranjo / Zapata

46%

Avg Elo 1546

Sanchez / Pineda

54%

Avg Elo 1561

Elo gap 15

Naranjo / Zapata won a near coin flip (46%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Naranjo / ZapataSanchez / Pineda

59%
Points won
41%
73%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
27%
71%
1st-serve points won
50%
86%
2nd-serve points won
67%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
38%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
4
12
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

65%
Points won
35%
81%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
19%
82%
1st-serve points won
48%
75%
2nd-serve points won
0%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
40%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

48%
Points won
52%
68%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
32%
65%
1st-serve points won
66%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 3

70%
Points won
30%
71%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
29%
69%
1st-serve points won
26%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
74%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Naranjo / Zapata first, Sanchez / Pineda second.

121 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–ABP
    Break

Set 36–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Sanchez / Pineda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Naranjo / Zapata serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 0–15
    5. 15–15
    6. 30–15
    7. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.