The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 8, 2026

Reca / Tur Checa v Sans / Nunes

A. RecaV. Tur Checa
55
A. SansG. Nunes
Winner
77
Court 301:20

Pre-match odds

Reca / Tur Checa

38%

Avg Elo 1483

Sans / Nunes

62%

Avg Elo 1525

Elo gap 43

Sans / Nunes delivered as 62% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Reca / Tur ChecaSans / Nunes

44%
Points won
56%
54%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
46%
55%
1st-serve points won
66%
43%
2nd-serve points won
71%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
50%
Break points converted
56%
5
Longest run of points
11
12
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
50%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
50%
51%
1st-serve points won
59%
33%
2nd-serve points won
75%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
50%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
11
6
Service games
6

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
59%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
41%
60%
1st-serve points won
72%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Reca / Tur Checa first, Sans / Nunes second.

106 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 15–7

Breaks 2–3

  1. 1–0

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 15–40
    2. 30–40
    3. 40–40
    4. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  11. 5–6

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  12. 5–7

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 25–7

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Reca / Tur Checa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  12. 5–7

    Sans / Nunes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.