The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 8, 2026

Garcia / Rocafort v Calvo / Caiano

C. GarciaM. Rocafort
34
A. CalvoJ. Caiano
Winner
66
Center Court01:14

Pre-match odds

Garcia / Rocafort

50%

Avg Elo 1485

Calvo / Caiano

50%

Avg Elo 1484

Elo gap 1

Calvo / Caiano won a near coin flip (50%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Garcia / RocafortCalvo / Caiano

44%
Points won
56%
60%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
40%
65%
1st-serve points won
72%
42%
2nd-serve points won
78%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
22%
Points won returning 2nd serve
58%
0%
Break points converted
22%
5
Longest run of points
8
9
Service games
10
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

42%
Points won
58%
59%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
41%
70%
1st-serve points won
76%
17%
2nd-serve points won
100%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
5
1
Double faults
0

Set 2

46%
Points won
54%
62%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
38%
61%
1st-serve points won
68%
67%
2nd-serve points won
75%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
17%
5
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Garcia / Rocafort first, Calvo / Caiano second.

101 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Garcia / Rocafort serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Garcia / Rocafort serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Garcia / Rocafort serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Garcia / Rocafort serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Garcia / Rocafort serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0BP
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Garcia / Rocafort serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Garcia / Rocafort serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Garcia / Rocafort serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Garcia / Rocafort serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.