The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 8, 2026

Dominguez / Sager v Morales / Reina

F. DominguezI. Sager
Winner
77
M. MoralesP. Reina
56
Center Court01:34

Pre-match odds

Dominguez / Sager

64%

Avg Elo 1554

Morales / Reina

36%

Avg Elo 1503

Elo gap 52

Dominguez / Sager delivered as 64% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dominguez / SagerMorales / Reina

52%
Points won
48%
61%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
39%
65%
1st-serve points won
58%
36%
2nd-serve points won
43%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
64%
36%
Break points converted
43%
7
Longest run of points
5
12
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

53%
Points won
47%
59%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
41%
64%
1st-serve points won
55%
33%
2nd-serve points won
25%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
60%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

52%
Points won
48%
63%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
37%
66%
1st-serve points won
60%
40%
2nd-serve points won
67%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
17%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Dominguez / Sager first, Morales / Reina second.

135 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–5

Breaks 3–2

  1. 0–1

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break

Set 27–6

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Morales / Reina serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Dominguez / Sager take it 7–2

    1. 1–0
    2. 2–0
    3. 3–0
    4. 3–1
    5. 4–1
    6. 5–1
    7. 5–2
    8. 6–2
    9. 5–2
    10. 6–2
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.