The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 8, 2026

Oliver / Pastor v Moya / Leygue

L. OliverP. Pastor
63
J. MoyaT. Leygue
Winner
76
Court 301:11

Pre-match odds

Oliver / Pastor

22%

Avg Elo 1480

Moya / Leygue

78%

Avg Elo 1591

Elo gap 111

Moya / Leygue delivered as 78% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Oliver / PastorMoya / Leygue

43%
Points won
57%
56%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
44%
59%
1st-serve points won
75%
17%
2nd-serve points won
43%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
33%
Break points converted
60%
5
Longest run of points
7
11
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
61%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
39%
65%
1st-serve points won
74%
0%
2nd-serve points won
43%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

39%
Points won
61%
50%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
50%
53%
1st-serve points won
77%
25%
2nd-serve points won
0%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Oliver / Pastor first, Moya / Leygue second.

100 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Moya / Leygue take it 7–2

    1. 1–0
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–1
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 2–4
    7. 2–5
    8. 2–6
    Tiebreak

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Oliver / Pastor serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.