The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 8, 2026

Calleja / Romera v Dawani / Tierno

F. CallejaJ. Romera
Winner
66
A. DawaniS. Tierno
23
Court 200:57

Pre-match odds

Calleja / Romera

82%

Avg Elo 1611

Dawani / Tierno

18%

Avg Elo 1481

Elo gap 130

Calleja / Romera delivered as 82% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Calleja / RomeraDawani / Tierno

66%
Points won
34%
71%
Points won on serve
40%
60%
Points won on return
29%
72%
1st-serve points won
40%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
60%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
71%
Break points converted
100%
12
Longest run of points
3
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

70%
Points won
30%
84%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
16%
88%
1st-serve points won
39%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
63%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
37%
62%
1st-serve points won
40%
75%
2nd-serve points won
0%
60%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
60%
Break points converted
100%
12
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Calleja / Romera first, Dawani / Tierno second.

71 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Calleja / Romera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Dawani / Tierno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Calleja / Romera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Dawani / Tierno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Calleja / Romera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Dawani / Tierno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Calleja / Romera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Dawani / Tierno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 3–2

  1. 1–0

    Calleja / Romera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Dawani / Tierno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Calleja / Romera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Dawani / Tierno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Calleja / Romera serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Dawani / Tierno serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Calleja / Romera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Dawani / Tierno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Calleja / Romera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.