The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 8, 2026

Valdes / Nuñez v Oviedo / Cassetta

J. ValdesR. Nuñez
Winner
66
F. OviedoM. Cassetta
24
Court 101:10

Pre-match odds

Valdes / Nuñez

63%

Avg Elo 1538

Oviedo / Cassetta

37%

Avg Elo 1491

Elo gap 47

Valdes / Nuñez delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Valdes / NuñezOviedo / Cassetta

59%
Points won
41%
67%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
33%
65%
1st-serve points won
48%
83%
2nd-serve points won
50%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
36%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
6
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
67%
Points won on serve
46%
54%
Points won on return
33%
64%
1st-serve points won
48%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
68%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
32%
67%
1st-serve points won
48%
75%
2nd-serve points won
67%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
33%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Valdes / Nuñez first, Oviedo / Cassetta second.

89 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Oviedo / Cassetta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Oviedo / Cassetta serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Oviedo / Cassetta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Oviedo / Cassetta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Oviedo / Cassetta serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Oviedo / Cassetta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Oviedo / Cassetta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Oviedo / Cassetta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Oviedo / Cassetta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 6–4

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.