The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenNovember 9, 2026

Capra / Sanchez v Patiniotis / Benitez

L. CapraM. Sanchez
Winner
647
A. PatiniotisM. Benitez
166
Center Court01:43

Pre-match odds

Capra / Sanchez

74%

Avg Elo 1618

Patiniotis / Benitez

26%

Avg Elo 1525

Elo gap 93

Capra / Sanchez delivered as 74% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Capra / SanchezPatiniotis / Benitez

53%
Points won
47%
75%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
25%
74%
1st-serve points won
68%
86%
2nd-serve points won
67%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
40%
Break points converted
50%
9
Longest run of points
5
15
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

69%
Points won
31%
80%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
20%
78%
1st-serve points won
38%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Set 2

48%
Points won
52%
69%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
31%
72%
1st-serve points won
71%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

51%
Points won
49%
76%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
24%
73%
1st-serve points won
77%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Capra / Sanchez first, Patiniotis / Benitez second.

126 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 37–6

Breaks 0–0

  1. 0–1

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Capra / Sanchez take it 7–5

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 1–4
    6. 2–4
    7. 3–4
    8. 4–4
    9. 4–5
    10. 5–5
    11. 4–5
    12. 5–5
    13. 6–5
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.