The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenNovember 9, 2026

Calvo / Caiano v Belluati / Abud

A. CalvoJ. Caiano
22
J. BelluatiM. Abud
Winner
66
Center Court00:46

Pre-match odds

Calvo / Caiano

27%

Avg Elo 1506

Belluati / Abud

73%

Avg Elo 1590

Elo gap 85

Belluati / Abud delivered as 73% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Calvo / CaianoBelluati / Abud

37%
Points won
63%
52%
Points won on serve
79%
21%
Points won on return
48%
54%
1st-serve points won
78%
40%
2nd-serve points won
100%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
0%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
8
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

33%
Points won
67%
50%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
50%
53%
1st-serve points won
83%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Set 2

40%
Points won
60%
54%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
46%
55%
1st-serve points won
74%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Calvo / Caiano first, Belluati / Abud second.

58 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  8. 2–6

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold

Set 22–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Calvo / Caiano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.