The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenNovember 9, 2026

Dominguez / Sager v Lamperti / Alvarez

F. DominguezI. Sager
Winner
466
M. LampertiO. Alvarez
642
Court 101:59

Pre-match odds

Dominguez / Sager

64%

Avg Elo 1566

Lamperti / Alvarez

36%

Avg Elo 1516

Elo gap 51

Dominguez / Sager delivered as 64% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dominguez / SagerLamperti / Alvarez

55%
Points won
45%
68%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
32%
67%
1st-serve points won
56%
78%
2nd-serve points won
57%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
22%
57%
Break points converted
18%
6
Longest run of points
5
14
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

50%
Points won
50%
72%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
28%
71%
1st-serve points won
69%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
64%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
36%
61%
1st-serve points won
48%
80%
2nd-serve points won
43%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
50%
Break points converted
17%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

58%
Points won
42%
68%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
50%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
67%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Dominguez / Sager first, Lamperti / Alvarez second.

140 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Lamperti / Alvarez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Lamperti / Alvarez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Lamperti / Alvarez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Dominguez / Sager serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Lamperti / Alvarez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Dominguez / Sager serving

      Hold
    1. 4–5

      Lamperti / Alvarez serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 15–40
      Hold
    2. 4–6

      Dominguez / Sager serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15
      5. 40–30
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–ABP
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–ABP
      10. 40–40
      Break

    Set 26–4

    Breaks 2–1

    1. 1–0

      Lamperti / Alvarez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 40–0BP
      Break
    2. 2–0

      Dominguez / Sager serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–15
      Hold
    3. 2–1

      Lamperti / Alvarez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 15–40
      5. 30–40
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–A
      Hold
    4. 2–2

      Dominguez / Sager serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40BP
      4. 15–40BP
      5. 30–40BP
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–ABP
      Break
    5. 2–3

      Lamperti / Alvarez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 30–30
      5. 40–30BP
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–A
      8. 40–40
      9. A–40BP
      10. 40–40
      11. A–40BP
      12. 40–40
      Hold
    6. 3–3

      Dominguez / Sager serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      Hold
    7. 4–3

      Lamperti / Alvarez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15BP
      Break
    8. 5–3

      Dominguez / Sager serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–15
      3. 30–30
      4. 40–30
      5. 40–40
      6. A–40
      Hold
    9. 5–4

      Lamperti / Alvarez serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–30
      3. 30–40
      Hold
    10. 6–4

      Dominguez / Sager serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–30
      3. 15–40BP
      4. 30–40BP
      5. 40–40
      6. A–40
      Hold

    Set 36–2

    Breaks 2–0

    1. 1–0

      Lamperti / Alvarez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 40–15BP
      4. 40–30BP
      Break
    2. 2–0

      Dominguez / Sager serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 30–30
      5. 40–30
      Hold
    3. 3–0

      Lamperti / Alvarez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 30–15
      4. 30–30
      5. 30–40
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–A
      8. 40–40
      9. A–40BP
      Break
    4. 4–0

      Dominguez / Sager serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15
      Hold
    5. 4–1

      Lamperti / Alvarez serving

      1. 15–15
      2. 30–15
      3. 30–30
      4. 30–40
      5. 40–40
      6. 40–A
      7. 40–40
      8. 40–A
      Hold
    6. 5–1

      Dominguez / Sager serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 40–0
      4. 40–15
      Hold
    7. 5–2

      Lamperti / Alvarez serving

      1. 15–15
      2. 30–15
      3. 30–30
      Hold
    8. 6–2

      Dominguez / Sager serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 15–30
      4. 15–40BP
      5. 30–40BP
      6. 40–40
      7. A–40
      Hold

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.