The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenNovember 9, 2026

Araujo / Graca v Moya / Leygue

P. AraujoP. Graca
360
J. MoyaT. Leygue
Winner
636
Court 101:40

Pre-match odds

Araujo / Graca

53%

Avg Elo 1609

Moya / Leygue

47%

Avg Elo 1599

Elo gap 10

Moya / Leygue won a near coin flip (47%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Araujo / Graca first, Moya / Leygue second.

136 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    Break
  9. 3–6

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold

Set 30–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–40
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 0–5

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 0–6

    Araujo / Graca serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.