The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenNovember 9, 2026

Valdes / Nuñez v Garcia / Gonzalez

J. ValdesR. Nuñez
Winner
66
D. GarciaM. Gonzalez
42
Center Court01:09

Pre-match odds

Valdes / Nuñez

55%

Avg Elo 1555

Garcia / Gonzalez

45%

Avg Elo 1537

Elo gap 18

Valdes / Nuñez delivered as 55% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Valdes / NuñezGarcia / Gonzalez

60%
Points won
40%
71%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
29%
66%
1st-serve points won
51%
100%
2nd-serve points won
44%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
44%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

54%
Points won
46%
74%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
26%
70%
1st-serve points won
65%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
67%
Points won on serve
35%
65%
Points won on return
33%
61%
1st-serve points won
33%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
43%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Valdes / Nuñez first, Garcia / Gonzalez second.

76 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.