The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenNovember 8, 2026

Escacena / Aguilar v Torssell / Lucinda

C. EscacenaN. Aguilar
Winner
66
D. TorssellJ. Lucinda
21
Court 100:49

Pre-match odds

Escacena / Aguilar

85%

Avg Elo 1640

Torssell / Lucinda

15%

Avg Elo 1492

Elo gap 148

Escacena / Aguilar delivered as 85% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Escacena / AguilarTorssell / Lucinda

64%
Points won
36%
69%
Points won on serve
40%
60%
Points won on return
31%
71%
1st-serve points won
38%
57%
2nd-serve points won
50%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
83%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
60%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
40%
64%
1st-serve points won
39%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
75%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Set 2

71%
Points won
29%
80%
Points won on serve
40%
60%
Points won on return
20%
81%
1st-serve points won
36%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
64%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Escacena / Aguilar first, Torssell / Lucinda second.

69 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Torssell / Lucinda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Torssell / Lucinda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 15–15
    7. 30–15
    8. 30–30
    9. 30–40
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    12. 40–40
    13. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Torssell / Lucinda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Torssell / Lucinda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Torssell / Lucinda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Torssell / Lucinda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Torssell / Lucinda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.