The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenNovember 8, 2026

Martinez / Lopez v Neizvestnaya / Terranova

Center Court00:58

Pre-match odds

Martinez / Lopez

71%

Avg Elo 1558

Neizvestnaya / Terranova

29%

Avg Elo 1479

Elo gap 80

Martinez / Lopez delivered as 71% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Martinez / LopezNeizvestnaya / Terranova

62%
Points won
38%
64%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
36%
71%
1st-serve points won
41%
0%
2nd-serve points won
43%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
29%
11
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
7
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
71%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
29%
71%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
3

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
59%
Points won on serve
33%
67%
Points won on return
41%
70%
1st-serve points won
25%
0%
2nd-serve points won
60%
75%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
20%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4
1
Double faults
0

Point by point

Scores read Martinez / Lopez first, Neizvestnaya / Terranova second.

75 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Neizvestnaya / Terranova serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Neizvestnaya / Terranova serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Neizvestnaya / Terranova serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Neizvestnaya / Terranova serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 25–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Neizvestnaya / Terranova serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Neizvestnaya / Terranova serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 30–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    10. A–40
    11. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Neizvestnaya / Terranova serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    6. 40–30
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–ABP
    11. 40–40
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Neizvestnaya / Terranova serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 5–2

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.