The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenNovember 8, 2026

Arellano / Kurz v Sol Perez / Ozawa

M. ArellanoV. Kurz
Winner
66
G. Sol PerezK. Ozawa
12
Court 300:52

Pre-match odds

Arellano / Kurz

60%

Avg Elo 1491

Sol Perez / Ozawa

40%

Avg Elo 1454

Elo gap 37

Arellano / Kurz delivered as 60% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Arellano / Kurz first, Sol Perez / Ozawa second.

75 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Arellano / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 30–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Sol Perez / Ozawa serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Arellano / Kurz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Sol Perez / Ozawa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Arellano / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Sol Perez / Ozawa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Arellano / Kurz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Sol Perez / Ozawa serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Arellano / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Sol Perez / Ozawa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Arellano / Kurz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Sol Perez / Ozawa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Arellano / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Sol Perez / Ozawa serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Arellano / Kurz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.