The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 9, 2026

Escacena / Aguilar v Cañellas / Peralta

Center Court01:27

Pre-match odds

Escacena / Aguilar

89%

Avg Elo 1649

Cañellas / Peralta

11%

Avg Elo 1471

Elo gap 178

Escacena / Aguilar delivered as 89% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Escacena / AguilarCañellas / Peralta

51%
Points won
49%
51%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
49%
51%
1st-serve points won
51%
50%
2nd-serve points won
33%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
55%
Break points converted
67%
6
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
42%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
58%
35%
1st-serve points won
28%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
72%
Points won returning 1st serve
65%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
80%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

48%
Points won
52%
55%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
45%
58%
1st-serve points won
61%
33%
2nd-serve points won
25%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
33%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Escacena / Aguilar first, Cañellas / Peralta second.

100 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 4–2

  1. 0–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Cañellas / Peralta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Cañellas / Peralta serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Cañellas / Peralta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Cañellas / Peralta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Break

Set 27–6

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Cañellas / Peralta serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Cañellas / Peralta serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Cañellas / Peralta serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Cañellas / Peralta serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Cañellas / Peralta serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Cañellas / Peralta serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Escacena / Aguilar take it 7–4

    1. 1–0
    2. 2–0
    3. 3–0
    4. 4–0
    5. 5–0
    6. 5–1
    7. 5–2
    8. 5–3
    9. 6–3
    10. 6–4
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.