The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 9, 2026

Martinez / Lopez v Lopez / Fassio

A. MartinezN. Lopez
65
A. LopezC. Fassio
Winner
77
Court 101:54

Pre-match odds

Martinez / Lopez

38%

Avg Elo 1573

Lopez / Fassio

62%

Avg Elo 1615

Elo gap 42

Lopez / Fassio delivered as 62% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Martinez / LopezLopez / Fassio

48%
Points won
52%
54%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
46%
55%
1st-serve points won
63%
40%
2nd-serve points won
40%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
60%
Break points converted
36%
6
Longest run of points
6
12
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

49%
Points won
51%
52%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
48%
52%
1st-serve points won
59%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
67%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

46%
Points won
54%
57%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
43%
58%
1st-serve points won
70%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
50%
Break points converted
40%
6
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Martinez / Lopez first, Lopez / Fassio second.

148 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–30
    9. 40–40
    10. A–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  12. 6–6

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  13. 6–7

    Lopez / Fassio take it 7–3

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 2–3
    6. 2–4
    7. 3–4
    8. 3–5
    9. 3–6
    Tiebreak

Set 25–7

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Martinez / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  12. 5–7

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.