The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenNovember 9, 2026

Ortiz / Ferreyra v Polo / Martinez

A. OrtizM. Ferreyra
Winner
66
J. PoloP. Martinez
32
Center Court00:59

Pre-match odds

Ortiz / Ferreyra

60%

Avg Elo 1626

Polo / Martinez

40%

Avg Elo 1592

Elo gap 34

Ortiz / Ferreyra delivered as 60% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ortiz / FerreyraPolo / Martinez

58%
Points won
42%
65%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
35%
67%
1st-serve points won
47%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
62%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

54%
Points won
46%
65%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
35%
71%
1st-serve points won
67%
0%
2nd-serve points won
40%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Set 2

61%
Points won
39%
65%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
35%
64%
1st-serve points won
32%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
68%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Ortiz / Ferreyra first, Polo / Martinez second.

72 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Polo / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Polo / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Polo / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Polo / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 25–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Polo / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Polo / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Polo / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Polo / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  8. 5–2

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.