The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenNovember 10, 2026

Cepero / Fernandez v Chozas / Rubini

A. CeperoA. Fernandez
24
A. ChozasJ. Rubini
Winner
66
Court 300:59

Pre-match odds

Cepero / Fernandez

24%

Avg Elo 1548

Chozas / Rubini

76%

Avg Elo 1651

Elo gap 103

Chozas / Rubini delivered as 76% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Cepero / FernandezChozas / Rubini

44%
Points won
56%
59%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
41%
56%
1st-serve points won
70%
83%
2nd-serve points won
100%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
0%
Break points converted
75%
4
Longest run of points
8
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

42%
Points won
58%
53%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
47%
50%
1st-serve points won
66%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
4

Set 2

45%
Points won
55%
62%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
38%
59%
1st-serve points won
76%
80%
2nd-serve points won
100%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Cepero / Fernandez first, Chozas / Rubini second.

76 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 12–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Cepero / Fernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Cepero / Fernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Cepero / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Cepero / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Cepero / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Cepero / Fernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Cepero / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Cepero / Fernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Cepero / Fernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    Hold
  11. 4–6

    Chozas / Rubini serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.