The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenNovember 10, 2026

Lijo / Aguirre v Del Castillo / Vilariño

P. LijoT. Aguirre
Winner
66
M. Del CastilloN. Vilariño
22
Court 100:58

Pre-match odds

Lijo / Aguirre

81%

Avg Elo 1705

Del Castillo / Vilariño

19%

Avg Elo 1579

Elo gap 126

Lijo / Aguirre delivered as 81% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lijo / AguirreDel Castillo / Vilariño

60%
Points won
40%
71%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
29%
67%
1st-serve points won
49%
100%
2nd-serve points won
60%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
57%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
72%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
28%
70%
1st-serve points won
55%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
69%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
31%
65%
1st-serve points won
41%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Lijo / Aguirre first, Del Castillo / Vilariño second.

81 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Del Castillo / Vilariño serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Del Castillo / Vilariño serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Del Castillo / Vilariño serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Del Castillo / Vilariño serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Del Castillo / Vilariño serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Del Castillo / Vilariño serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Del Castillo / Vilariño serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Del Castillo / Vilariño serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.