The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenNovember 10, 2026

Rodriguez / Garcia v Gil / Valenzuela

A. RodriguezP. Garcia
23
F. GilR. Valenzuela
Winner
66
Court 101:08

Pre-match odds

Rodriguez / Garcia

33%

Avg Elo 1563

Gil / Valenzuela

67%

Avg Elo 1626

Elo gap 64

Gil / Valenzuela delivered as 67% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Rodriguez / Garcia first, Gil / Valenzuela second.

85 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Rodriguez / Garcia serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Rodriguez / Garcia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Rodriguez / Garcia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Rodriguez / Garcia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Rodriguez / Garcia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Rodriguez / Garcia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Rodriguez / Garcia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Rodriguez / Garcia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Rodriguez / Garcia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.