The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenNovember 10, 2026

Roglan / Aragon v Valdes / Nuñez

A. RoglanM. Aragon
Winner
667
J. ValdesR. Nuñez
746
Court 302:43

Pre-match odds

Roglan / Aragon

57%

Avg Elo 1600

Valdes / Nuñez

43%

Avg Elo 1576

Elo gap 24

Roglan / Aragon delivered as 57% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Roglan / AragonValdes / Nuñez

50%
Points won
50%
60%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
40%
56%
1st-serve points won
61%
93%
2nd-serve points won
71%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
7%
100%
Break points converted
18%
9
Longest run of points
6
17
Service games
17
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
59%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
41%
51%
1st-serve points won
70%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
20%
9
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
78%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
22%
75%
1st-serve points won
63%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 3

50%
Points won
50%
52%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
48%
50%
1st-serve points won
52%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
22%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Roglan / Aragon first, Valdes / Nuñez second.

194 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–0
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Valdes / Nuñez take it 7–4

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 2–3
    6. 2–4
    7. 3–4
    8. 4–4
    9. 4–5
    10. 4–6
    Tiebreak

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 37–6

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Valdes / Nuñez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Roglan / Aragon take it 7–5

    1. 1–0
    2. 2–0
    3. 2–1
    4. 3–1
    5. 3–2
    6. 3–3
    7. 3–4
    8. 4–4
    9. 5–4
    10. 6–4
    11. 6–5
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.