The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenNovember 10, 2026

Martinez / Hernandez v Geens / Guichard

J. MartinezL. Hernandez
Winner
66
C. GeensD. Guichard
34
Court 301:08

Pre-match odds

Martinez / Hernandez

54%

Avg Elo 1660

Geens / Guichard

46%

Avg Elo 1646

Elo gap 14

Martinez / Hernandez won a near coin flip (54%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Martinez / HernandezGeens / Guichard

58%
Points won
42%
78%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
22%
84%
1st-serve points won
62%
55%
2nd-serve points won
50%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
45%
67%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
83%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
17%
87%
1st-serve points won
62%
0%
2nd-serve points won
33%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
13%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
73%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
27%
80%
1st-serve points won
62%
60%
2nd-serve points won
67%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Martinez / Hernandez first, Geens / Guichard second.

88 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.