The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenNovember 10, 2026

Gala / Jensen v Ruiz / Gonzalez

D. GalaE. Jensen
44
J. RuizJ. Gonzalez
Winner
66
Center Court01:23

Pre-match odds

Upset
Gala / Jensen

75%

Avg Elo 1691

Ruiz / Gonzalez

25%

Avg Elo 1596

Elo gap 95

Ruiz / Gonzalez won with a 25% chance — about 1 in 4.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gala / JensenRuiz / Gonzalez

47%
Points won
53%
69%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
31%
72%
1st-serve points won
72%
58%
2nd-serve points won
67%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
42%
0%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
9
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

50%
Points won
50%
69%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
31%
76%
1st-serve points won
66%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
69%
Points won on serve
79%
21%
Points won on return
31%
68%
1st-serve points won
81%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
19%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
9
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Gala / Jensen first, Ruiz / Gonzalez second.

96 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.