The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenNovember 10, 2026

Rodrigo / Ruiz v Moya / Leygue

F. RodrigoV. Ruiz
Winner
756
J. MoyaT. Leygue
574
Court 202:06

Pre-match odds

Rodrigo / Ruiz

45%

Avg Elo 1607

Moya / Leygue

55%

Avg Elo 1624

Elo gap 17

Rodrigo / Ruiz won a near coin flip (45%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodrigo / RuizMoya / Leygue

49%
Points won
51%
63%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
37%
66%
1st-serve points won
65%
17%
2nd-serve points won
100%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
50%
Break points converted
30%
6
Longest run of points
9
17
Service games
17
Stats by set

Set 1

53%
Points won
47%
60%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
40%
62%
1st-serve points won
53%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
50%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
8
6
Service games
6

Set 2

40%
Points won
60%
56%
Points won on serve
81%
19%
Points won on return
44%
61%
1st-serve points won
79%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
21%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Set 3

54%
Points won
46%
78%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
22%
78%
1st-serve points won
67%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Rodrigo / Ruiz first, Moya / Leygue second.

150 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 17–5

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 25–7

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  12. 5–7

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

Set 36–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Moya / Leygue serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  11. 6–4

    Moya / Leygue serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.