The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenNovember 10, 2026

Deus / Deus v Castaño / Hernandez

M. DeusN. Deus
666
M. CastañoP. Hernandez
Winner
737
Court 202:40

Pre-match odds

Deus / Deus

19%

Avg Elo 1558

Castaño / Hernandez

81%

Avg Elo 1682

Elo gap 124

Castaño / Hernandez delivered as 81% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Deus / DeusCastaño / Hernandez

47%
Points won
53%
58%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
42%
57%
1st-serve points won
68%
71%
2nd-serve points won
57%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
43%
Break points converted
12%
6
Longest run of points
7
17
Service games
16
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
57%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
43%
58%
1st-serve points won
68%
50%
2nd-serve points won
83%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
17%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

55%
Points won
45%
66%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
34%
59%
1st-serve points won
59%
88%
2nd-serve points won
40%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
12%
33%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Set 3

44%
Points won
56%
55%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
45%
55%
1st-serve points won
74%
67%
2nd-serve points won
33%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
33%
Break points converted
8%
5
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Deus / Deus first, Castaño / Hernandez second.

198 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 0–1

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Castaño / Hernandez take it 7–2

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 0–3
    4. 0–4
    5. 0–5
    6. 1–5
    7. 1–6
    8. 2–6
    Tiebreak

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40BP
    12. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 36–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–30BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–A
    11. 40–40
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Castaño / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Castaño / Hernandez take it 7–1

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 1–4
    6. 1–5
    7. 1–6
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.