The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 11, 2026

Lijo / Aguirre v Alfonso / Libaak

P. LijoT. Aguirre
34
G. AlfonsoT. Libaak
Winner
66
Court 201:04

Pre-match odds

Lijo / Aguirre

14%

Avg Elo 1715

Alfonso / Libaak

86%

Avg Elo 1871

Elo gap 157

Alfonso / Libaak delivered as 86% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lijo / AguirreAlfonso / Libaak

45%
Points won
55%
67%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
33%
66%
1st-serve points won
78%
75%
2nd-serve points won
57%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

42%
Points won
58%
61%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
39%
62%
1st-serve points won
77%
50%
2nd-serve points won
60%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
5

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
72%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
28%
70%
1st-serve points won
79%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
21%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Lijo / Aguirre first, Alfonso / Libaak second.

78 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.