The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 11, 2026

Nieto / Yanguas v Zamora / Sintes

Court 101:51

Pre-match odds

Nieto / Yanguas

75%

Avg Elo 1808

Zamora / Sintes

25%

Avg Elo 1711

Elo gap 98

Nieto / Yanguas delivered as 75% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Nieto / YanguasZamora / Sintes

54%
Points won
46%
77%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
23%
76%
1st-serve points won
67%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
29%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
5
16
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

51%
Points won
49%
84%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
16%
84%
1st-serve points won
73%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
68%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
58%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 3

57%
Points won
43%
78%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
22%
77%
1st-serve points won
65%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Nieto / Yanguas first, Zamora / Sintes second.

152 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 0–0

  1. 0–1

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Zamora / Sintes take it 7–3

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–1
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 3–4
    8. 3–5
    9. 3–6
    Tiebreak

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    Hold

Set 36–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.