The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 11, 2026

Gil / Valenzuela v Garrido / De Pascual

F. GilR. Valenzuela
36
J. GarridoJ. De Pascual
Winner
67
Court 301:28

Pre-match odds

Gil / Valenzuela

33%

Avg Elo 1642

Garrido / De Pascual

67%

Avg Elo 1705

Elo gap 63

Garrido / De Pascual delivered as 67% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gil / ValenzuelaGarrido / De Pascual

45%
Points won
55%
65%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
35%
65%
1st-serve points won
75%
67%
2nd-serve points won
86%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
14%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
9%
6
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

42%
Points won
58%
65%
Points won on serve
78%
22%
Points won on return
35%
65%
1st-serve points won
77%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
65%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
35%
65%
1st-serve points won
74%
67%
2nd-serve points won
83%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
17%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Gil / Valenzuela first, Garrido / De Pascual second.

105 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 26–7

Breaks 0–0

  1. 1–0

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Garrido / De Pascual take it 7–4

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 1–4
    6. 1–5
    7. 2–6
    8. 3–6
    9. 4–6
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.