The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 11, 2026

Sanchez / Gutierrez v Goenaga / Collado

M. SanchezS. Gutierrez
Winner
667
E. GoenagaG. Collado
716
Court 102:03

Pre-match odds

Sanchez / Gutierrez

63%

Avg Elo 1720

Goenaga / Collado

37%

Avg Elo 1675

Elo gap 46

Sanchez / Gutierrez delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Sanchez / GutierrezGoenaga / Collado

55%
Points won
45%
71%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
29%
71%
1st-serve points won
58%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
38%
Break points converted
29%
10
Longest run of points
6
15
Service games
16
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
68%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
32%
67%
1st-serve points won
62%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
25%
10
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

64%
Points won
36%
72%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
28%
71%
1st-serve points won
42%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
43%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Set 3

53%
Points won
47%
74%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
26%
77%
1st-serve points won
63%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Sanchez / Gutierrez first, Goenaga / Collado second.

163 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  11. 6–5

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Goenaga / Collado take it 7–4

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 0–3
    4. 1–3
    5. 1–4
    6. 1–5
    7. 1–6
    8. 2–6
    9. 3–6
    10. 4–6
    Tiebreak

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break

Set 37–6

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Sanchez / Gutierrez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Sanchez / Gutierrez take it 7–5

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 2–2
    5. 3–2
    6. 3–3
    7. 3–4
    8. 4–4
    9. 4–5
    10. 5–5
    11. 6–5
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.