The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 11, 2026

Ayats / Sanchez v Stupaczuk / Sanz

A. AyatsE. Sanchez
31
F. StupaczukJ. Sanz
Winner
65
RetiredCenter Court00:54

Pre-match odds

Ayats / Sanchez

6%

Avg Elo 1662

Stupaczuk / Sanz

94%

Avg Elo 1895

Elo gap 233

Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 94% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Ayats / Sanchez first, Stupaczuk / Sanz second.

64 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–ABP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 21–5

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 1–5

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.