The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenNovember 11, 2026

Jofre / Esbri v Martinez / Hernandez

Pre-match odds

Jofre / Esbri

63%

Avg Elo 1727

Martinez / Hernandez

37%

Avg Elo 1680

Elo gap 47

Jofre / Esbri delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Jofre / EsbriMartinez / Hernandez

51%
Points won
49%
64%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
36%
64%
1st-serve points won
57%
100%
2nd-serve points won
78%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
22%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
33%
6
Longest run of points
7
11
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
75%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
25%
74%
1st-serve points won
59%
100%
2nd-serve points won
80%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
20%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
56%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
44%
56%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
67%
6
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Jofre / Esbri first, Martinez / Hernandez second.

116 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 27–6

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  11. 5–6

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Jofre / Esbri take it 7–4

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–1
    4. 3–1
    5. 4–1
    6. 5–1
    7. 5–2
    8. 5–3
    9. 6–3
    10. 6–4
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.