The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenNovember 12, 2026

Garcia / Gonzalez v Alfonso / Libaak

D. GarciaM. Gonzalez
23
G. AlfonsoT. Libaak
Winner
66
Court 201:00

Pre-match odds

Garcia / Gonzalez

4%

Avg Elo 1590

Alfonso / Libaak

96%

Avg Elo 1877

Elo gap 287

Alfonso / Libaak delivered as 96% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Garcia / GonzalezAlfonso / Libaak

39%
Points won
61%
55%
Points won on serve
82%
18%
Points won on return
45%
57%
1st-serve points won
83%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
38%
4
Longest run of points
8
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

37%
Points won
63%
48%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
52%
50%
1st-serve points won
84%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
16%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Set 2

42%
Points won
58%
62%
Points won on serve
83%
17%
Points won on return
38%
64%
1st-serve points won
82%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
18%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Garcia / Gonzalez first, Alfonso / Libaak second.

79 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Garcia / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  9. 3–6

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.