The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenNovember 12, 2026

Nieto / Yanguas v Garrido / De Pascual

Center Court02:34

Pre-match odds

Upset
Nieto / Yanguas

76%

Avg Elo 1817

Garrido / De Pascual

24%

Avg Elo 1718

Elo gap 99

Garrido / De Pascual won with a 24% chance — about 1 in 4.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Nieto / Yanguas first, Garrido / De Pascual second.

185 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 0–0

  1. 0–1

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Garrido / De Pascual take it 7–3

    1. 1–0
    2. 2–0
    3. 2–1
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 3–4
    8. 3–5
    9. 3–6
    Tiebreak

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 36–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 0–1

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Garrido / De Pascual serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Garrido / De Pascual take it 8–6

    1. 1–0
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 4–3
    8. 4–4
    9. 4–5
    10. 5–5
    11. 5–6
    12. 6–6
    13. 6–7
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.