The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenNovember 12, 2026

Roglan / Aragon v Abbate / Dal Bianco

A. RoglanM. Aragon
63
F. AbbateF. Dal Bianco
Winner
76
Court 201:24

Pre-match odds

Roglan / Aragon

30%

Avg Elo 1611

Abbate / Dal Bianco

70%

Avg Elo 1686

Elo gap 75

Abbate / Dal Bianco delivered as 70% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Roglan / AragonAbbate / Dal Bianco

47%
Points won
53%
70%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
30%
69%
1st-serve points won
77%
83%
2nd-serve points won
80%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
0%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

51%
Points won
49%
76%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
24%
76%
1st-serve points won
73%
75%
2nd-serve points won
0%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

40%
Points won
60%
63%
Points won on serve
87%
13%
Points won on return
37%
60%
1st-serve points won
84%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
16%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Roglan / Aragon first, Abbate / Dal Bianco second.

106 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 0–0

  1. 1–0

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Abbate / Dal Bianco take it 7–3

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 0–3
    4. 1–3
    5. 1–4
    6. 1–5
    7. 1–6
    8. 2–6
    9. 3–6
    Tiebreak

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–0
    4. 0–15
    5. 0–30
    6. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  10. 3–6

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.