The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenNovember 12, 2026

Rodrigo / Ruiz v Lebron / Augsburger

F. RodrigoV. Ruiz
24
J. LebronL. Augsburger
Winner
66
Center Court01:09

Pre-match odds

Rodrigo / Ruiz

6%

Avg Elo 1642

Lebron / Augsburger

94%

Avg Elo 1886

Elo gap 245

Lebron / Augsburger delivered as 94% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodrigo / RuizLebron / Augsburger

41%
Points won
59%
58%
Points won on serve
82%
18%
Points won on return
42%
61%
1st-serve points won
82%
33%
2nd-serve points won
80%
18%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
43%
4
Longest run of points
6
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
52%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
48%
54%
1st-serve points won
80%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
20%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Set 2

42%
Points won
58%
63%
Points won on serve
88%
12%
Points won on return
37%
67%
1st-serve points won
85%
40%
2nd-serve points won
100%
15%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
0%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Rodrigo / Ruiz first, Lebron / Augsburger second.

82 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.