The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenNovember 13, 2026

Alfonso / Libaak v Bautista / Bergamini

G. AlfonsoT. Libaak
Winner
467
J. BautistaL. Bergamini
636
Center Court01:57

Pre-match odds

Alfonso / Libaak

72%

Avg Elo 1879

Bautista / Bergamini

28%

Avg Elo 1798

Elo gap 81

Alfonso / Libaak delivered as 72% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Alfonso / LibaakBautista / Bergamini

53%
Points won
47%
70%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
30%
70%
1st-serve points won
62%
75%
2nd-serve points won
62%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
33%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
8
16
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

44%
Points won
56%
71%
Points won on serve
83%
17%
Points won on return
29%
74%
1st-serve points won
83%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
5

Set 2

61%
Points won
39%
80%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
20%
77%
1st-serve points won
59%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 3

54%
Points won
46%
64%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
36%
63%
1st-serve points won
52%
75%
2nd-serve points won
75%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
33%
Break points converted
40%
6
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Alfonso / Libaak first, Bautista / Bergamini second.

149 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

Set 37–6

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  12. 6–6

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  13. 7–6

    Alfonso / Libaak take it 7–3

    1. 1–0
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–1
    4. 3–1
    5. 4–1
    6. 5–1
    7. 6–1
    8. 6–2
    9. 6–3
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.