The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenNovember 13, 2026

Abbate / Dal Bianco v Campagnolo / Gonzalez

F. AbbateF. Dal Bianco
Winner
736
L. CampagnoloM. Gonzalez
662
Court 102:12

Pre-match odds

Upset
Abbate / Dal Bianco

26%

Avg Elo 1697

Campagnolo / Gonzalez

74%

Avg Elo 1789

Elo gap 93

Abbate / Dal Bianco won with a 26% chance — about 1 in 4.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Abbate / Dal BiancoCampagnolo / Gonzalez

51%
Points won
49%
57%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
43%
59%
1st-serve points won
57%
47%
2nd-serve points won
38%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
62%
Points won returning 2nd serve
53%
62%
Break points converted
50%
8
Longest run of points
6
14
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

50%
Points won
50%
60%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
40%
60%
1st-serve points won
64%
57%
2nd-serve points won
33%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
100%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
52%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
48%
55%
1st-serve points won
65%
33%
2nd-serve points won
33%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
50%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Set 3

59%
Points won
41%
58%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
42%
62%
1st-serve points won
38%
40%
2nd-serve points won
50%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
60%
Break points converted
33%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Abbate / Dal Bianco first, Campagnolo / Gonzalez second.

165 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–6

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    12. 40–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Abbate / Dal Bianco take it 7–4

    1. 1–0
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 2–3
    6. 2–4
    7. 3–4
    8. 4–4
    9. 5–4
    10. 6–4
    Tiebreak

Set 23–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    Hold

Set 36–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    12. 40–40
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.