The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenNovember 11, 2026

Escacena / Aguilar v Talavan / Saiz

C. EscacenaN. Aguilar
42
M. TalavanS. Saiz
Winner
66
Court 301:13

Pre-match odds

Escacena / Aguilar

36%

Avg Elo 1654

Talavan / Saiz

64%

Avg Elo 1703

Elo gap 49

Talavan / Saiz delivered as 64% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Escacena / AguilarTalavan / Saiz

41%
Points won
59%
52%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
48%
53%
1st-serve points won
73%
45%
2nd-serve points won
75%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
55%
100%
Break points converted
44%
5
Longest run of points
10
9
Service games
9
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

43%
Points won
57%
54%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
46%
54%
1st-serve points won
76%
56%
2nd-serve points won
50%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
100%
Break points converted
40%
5
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
5

Set 2

39%
Points won
61%
48%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
52%
52%
1st-serve points won
70%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4
1
Double faults
0

Point by point

Scores read Escacena / Aguilar first, Talavan / Saiz second.

86 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  10. 4–6

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

Set 22–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Escacena / Aguilar serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.