The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenNovember 11, 2026

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez v Jensen / Icardo

G. Dal PozzoN. Rodriguez
23
C. JensenT. Icardo
Winner
66
Center Court01:37

Pre-match odds

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez

16%

Avg Elo 1775

Jensen / Icardo

84%

Avg Elo 1919

Elo gap 144

Jensen / Icardo delivered as 84% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dal Pozzo / RodriguezJensen / Icardo

42%
Points won
58%
47%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
53%
48%
1st-serve points won
60%
43%
2nd-serve points won
78%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
22%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
40%
Break points converted
62%
4
Longest run of points
6
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
47%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
53%
46%
1st-serve points won
69%
50%
2nd-serve points won
75%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
54%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
48%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
52%
50%
1st-serve points won
56%
33%
2nd-serve points won
80%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
25%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez first, Jensen / Icardo second.

86 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 12–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break

Set 23–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  9. 3–6

    Jensen / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 3–6

    Jensen / Icardo serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.