The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenNovember 10, 2026

Salazar / Osoro v Rufo / Iglesias

Center Court01:49

Pre-match odds

Salazar / Osoro

60%

Avg Elo 1783

Rufo / Iglesias

40%

Avg Elo 1747

Elo gap 36

Rufo / Iglesias won as slight underdogs (40%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Salazar / OsoroRufo / Iglesias

48%
Points won
52%
59%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
41%
59%
1st-serve points won
62%
60%
2nd-serve points won
67%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
40%
Break points converted
36%
5
Longest run of points
6
13
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
55%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
45%
57%
1st-serve points won
67%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
40%
3
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
69%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
31%
67%
1st-serve points won
52%
80%
2nd-serve points won
50%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
67%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 3

42%
Points won
58%
55%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
45%
55%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Salazar / Osoro first, Rufo / Iglesias second.

134 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Break

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold

Set 32–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Salazar / Osoro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 0–40BP
    6. 15–40BP
    7. 30–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.