The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenNovember 10, 2026

Lopez / Fassio v Perez / Caparros

A. LopezC. Fassio
Winner
76
A. PerezM. Caparros
53
Court 301:27

Pre-match odds

Lopez / Fassio

60%

Avg Elo 1628

Perez / Caparros

40%

Avg Elo 1592

Elo gap 37

Lopez / Fassio delivered as 60% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lopez / FassioPerez / Caparros

55%
Points won
45%
55%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
45%
52%
1st-serve points won
43%
70%
2nd-serve points won
50%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
30%
50%
Break points converted
67%
8
Longest run of points
5
11
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
49%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
51%
43%
1st-serve points won
38%
67%
2nd-serve points won
38%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
62%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
67%
Break points converted
60%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

55%
Points won
45%
62%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
38%
61%
1st-serve points won
48%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
100%
8
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Lopez / Fassio first, Perez / Caparros second.

107 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–5

Breaks 4–3

  1. 1–0

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  11. 6–5

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Perez / Caparros serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.