The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenNovember 10, 2026

Castello / Rodriguez v Martinez / Martinez

J. CastelloM. Rodriguez
Winner
476
A. MartinezL. Martinez
651
Court 102:19

Pre-match odds

Castello / Rodriguez

80%

Avg Elo 1699

Martinez / Martinez

20%

Avg Elo 1581

Elo gap 118

Castello / Rodriguez delivered as 80% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Castello / RodriguezMartinez / Martinez

54%
Points won
46%
61%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
39%
62%
1st-serve points won
53%
56%
2nd-serve points won
56%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
44%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
42%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
6
15
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

48%
Points won
52%
62%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
38%
60%
1st-serve points won
67%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
33%
3
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

54%
Points won
46%
57%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
43%
59%
1st-serve points won
49%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 3

60%
Points won
40%
67%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
33%
68%
1st-serve points won
42%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
33%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Castello / Rodriguez first, Martinez / Martinez second.

164 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 27–5

Breaks 3–2

  1. 0–1

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 36–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Martinez / Martinez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Castello / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.