The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenNovember 10, 2026

Bidahorria / Riera v Manquillo / Sainz

J. BidahorriaV. Riera
614
L. ManquilloL. Sainz
Winner
166
Court 202:01

Pre-match odds

Bidahorria / Riera

65%

Avg Elo 1677

Manquillo / Sainz

35%

Avg Elo 1624

Elo gap 53

Manquillo / Sainz won as slight underdogs (35%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Bidahorria / RieraManquillo / Sainz

50%
Points won
50%
59%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
41%
60%
1st-serve points won
60%
50%
2nd-serve points won
45%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
55%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
33%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
4
12
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

63%
Points won
37%
71%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
29%
76%
1st-serve points won
45%
33%
2nd-serve points won
0%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
40%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
3

Set 2

42%
Points won
58%
38%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
62%
40%
1st-serve points won
57%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
60%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
25%
Break points converted
75%
4
Longest run of points
4
3
Service games
4

Set 3

48%
Points won
52%
67%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
33%
67%
1st-serve points won
73%
67%
2nd-serve points won
33%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Bidahorria / Riera first, Manquillo / Sainz second.

136 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold

Set 21–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold

Set 34–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Bidahorria / Riera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  10. 4–6

    Manquillo / Sainz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.