The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenNovember 11, 2026

Velasco / Eugenio v Orsi / Llaguno

J. VelascoR. Eugenio
Winner
77
C. OrsiP. Llaguno
66
Court 101:44

Pre-match odds

Velasco / Eugenio

67%

Avg Elo 1757

Orsi / Llaguno

33%

Avg Elo 1697

Elo gap 61

Velasco / Eugenio delivered as 67% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Velasco / EugenioOrsi / Llaguno

52%
Points won
48%
64%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
36%
62%
1st-serve points won
59%
69%
2nd-serve points won
55%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
45%
Points won returning 2nd serve
31%
75%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
8
12
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

49%
Points won
51%
54%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
46%
57%
1st-serve points won
56%
44%
2nd-serve points won
50%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
56%
100%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
8
6
Service games
6

Set 2

55%
Points won
45%
74%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
26%
68%
1st-serve points won
61%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
3
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Velasco / Eugenio first, Orsi / Llaguno second.

127 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–6

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  12. 6–6

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  13. 7–6

    Velasco / Eugenio take it 7–5

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 1–3
    5. 2–3
    6. 1–3
    7. 2–3
    8. 3–3
    9. 3–4
    10. 4–4
    11. 4–5
    12. 5–5
    13. 6–5
    Tiebreak

Set 27–6

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–15
    6. 15–30
    7. 30–30
    8. 40–30
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Velasco / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Orsi / Llaguno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Velasco / Eugenio take it 7–3

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–1
    4. 3–1
    5. 4–1
    6. 4–2
    7. 5–2
    8. 5–3
    9. 6–3
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.