The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenNovember 11, 2026

Ortiz / Ferreyra v Ortega / Araujo

A. OrtizM. Ferreyra
630
M. OrtegaS. Araujo
Winner
466
Center Court01:39

Pre-match odds

Ortiz / Ferreyra

10%

Avg Elo 1646

Ortega / Araujo

90%

Avg Elo 1838

Elo gap 192

Ortega / Araujo delivered as 90% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ortiz / FerreyraOrtega / Araujo

42%
Points won
58%
57%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
43%
58%
1st-serve points won
76%
50%
2nd-serve points won
62%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
36%
4
Longest run of points
8
12
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
71%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
29%
74%
1st-serve points won
64%
50%
2nd-serve points won
62%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

36%
Points won
64%
58%
Points won on serve
87%
13%
Points won on return
42%
57%
1st-serve points won
90%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
10%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
5

Set 3

31%
Points won
69%
35%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
65%
37%
1st-serve points won
77%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
63%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
50%
1
Longest run of points
6
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Ortiz / Ferreyra first, Ortega / Araujo second.

115 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  9. 3–6

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold

Set 30–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 0–5

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 0–6

    Ortega / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 0–6

    Ortega / Araujo serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.