The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenNovember 11, 2026

Alonso / Guinart v Montes / Barrera

Pre-match odds

Alonso / Guinart

66%

Avg Elo 1725

Montes / Barrera

34%

Avg Elo 1669

Elo gap 56

Alonso / Guinart delivered as 66% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Alonso / GuinartMontes / Barrera

57%
Points won
43%
64%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
36%
66%
1st-serve points won
55%
25%
2nd-serve points won
0%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
100%
Break points converted
20%
7
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
61%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
39%
65%
1st-serve points won
56%
25%
2nd-serve points won
0%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
100%
Break points converted
40%
7
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
68%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
53%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Alonso / Guinart first, Montes / Barrera second.

103 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–5

Breaks 3–2

  1. 0–1

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 15–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  12. 7–5

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 0–40BP
    6. 15–40BP
    7. 30–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Montes / Barrera serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.