The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenNovember 12, 2026

Brea / Triay v Talavan / Saiz

D. BreaG. Triay
Winner
66
M. TalavanS. Saiz
31
Center Court01:18

Pre-match odds

Brea / Triay

98%

Avg Elo 2044

Talavan / Saiz

2%

Avg Elo 1720

Elo gap 324

Brea / Triay delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Brea / TriayTalavan / Saiz

58%
Points won
42%
60%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
40%
60%
1st-serve points won
43%
67%
2nd-serve points won
44%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
38%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
57%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
43%
57%
1st-serve points won
47%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
25%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Set 2

63%
Points won
37%
64%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
36%
63%
1st-serve points won
37%
67%
2nd-serve points won
40%
63%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
75%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Brea / Triay first, Talavan / Saiz second.

99 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 30–30
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Brea / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.