The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenNovember 12, 2026

Rufo / Iglesias v Lopez / Fassio

L. RufoV. Iglesias
Winner
646
A. LopezC. Fassio
462
Court 201:47

Pre-match odds

Rufo / Iglesias

80%

Avg Elo 1767

Lopez / Fassio

20%

Avg Elo 1645

Elo gap 122

Rufo / Iglesias delivered as 80% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rufo / IglesiasLopez / Fassio

53%
Points won
47%
64%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
36%
59%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
62%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
38%
Break points converted
38%
7
Longest run of points
6
14
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

54%
Points won
46%
62%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
38%
57%
1st-serve points won
57%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
25%
7
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
60%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
40%
54%
1st-serve points won
58%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 3

57%
Points won
43%
71%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
29%
68%
1st-serve points won
52%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Rufo / Iglesias first, Lopez / Fassio second.

148 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 0–15
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Break

Set 36–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–0
    6. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Rufo / Iglesias serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.