The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenNovember 12, 2026

Alonso / Guinart v Lobo / Canovas

A. AlonsoM. Guinart
Winner
66
M. LoboN. Canovas
42
Court 201:20

Pre-match odds

Alonso / Guinart

59%

Avg Elo 1741

Lobo / Canovas

41%

Avg Elo 1708

Elo gap 33

Alonso / Guinart delivered as 59% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Alonso / GuinartLobo / Canovas

55%
Points won
45%
58%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
42%
56%
1st-serve points won
44%
67%
2nd-serve points won
80%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
60%
Break points converted
43%
5
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
54%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
46%
55%
1st-serve points won
46%
50%
2nd-serve points won
75%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
40%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
63%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
37%
57%
1st-serve points won
41%
83%
2nd-serve points won
100%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
60%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Alonso / Guinart first, Lobo / Canovas second.

96 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 3–2

  1. 0–1

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Lobo / Canovas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Alonso / Guinart serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.